What Position Should I Draft First In Fantasy Football Does Weather Have an Impact on Fantasy Football?

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Does Weather Have an Impact on Fantasy Football?

It’s that time of year when the weather can affect actual NFL games. As a fantasy football manager this is a concept you cannot ignore. Yes, I’m going to go on the record and say it. Checking weather reports is a must as a factor that goes into the process of setting up your fantasy football team! This article examines the effect of weather on fantasy football outcomes.

It should be understood that there are different categories of weather, each of which needs its own discussion. This article will focus on rain, snow, extreme cold and wind. For the purposes of this article, rain is defined as creating conditions that affect the pitch and ball, so light rain is not considered. Similarly, there must be significant accumulation on the ground for snow to affect the players’ feet. Extreme cold is defined as temperatures close to zero. Finally, we look at wind conditions, defined as more than a light breeze, we’re talking about those cold Sundays with gusts of wind that affect a quarterback’s ability to throw the ball.

Our first instinct is to consider any bad weather conditions as negative in relation to fantasy football results, but this is not the case. Rain and snow actually seem to have a more negative effect on defense than offense. Looking back to Week 16 of the 2008 season, inclement weather games were seen in Buffalo, Chicago and Cincinnati. Those three games produced five 100 yard rushers. Note that these performances all came from the running back position, but quarterbacks and wide receivers can excel in both wind and snow conditions. While the quarterback can’t catch the ball either, receivers have a huge advantage on a flat surface. Defenses are at a disadvantage with poor field conditions as it is more difficult to cut and maintain coverage.

While snow and rain are indeed conducive to offense, wind is a different story. On days when the wind blows, quarterbacks and wide receivers are severely affected. All one has to do is think back to the 2007 season when Tom Brady and Co. rolled all over everyone until they met mother nature at 15 weeks. The only thing that could stop the Patriots offense that year was the wind. If you have a quarterback or wide receiver on your team who has to play in high winds, I suggest you find an alternative.

Finally, the weather is cold. Some warm-weather teams are certainly bothered by the extreme cold, which gives teams like the Green Bay Packers a huge home-field advantage late in the season. Cold weather also affects hitters who lose distance on their shots as the air pressure on the ball is affected. We came across an analysis that examined the effects of extreme cold, which showed that within a data set from 1998, the home team won every game in extreme cold. That’s right, invincible at home in the cold! The fact is that teams that are not used to extreme cold will have a negative effect on production.

In conclusion, the weather is one thing to consider when setting your fantasy football line-up in the coming months. Snow/Rain seems to favor the offense, especially the running game. Stay away from defenses that play in the rain and snow. The wind is a different story as it can completely shut down the passing game. The extreme cold affects the batsmen and visiting teams who are not used to these conditions. So remember to take a quick look at the weather before you set your lineup, as it could give you the edge that could mean the difference between a win and a loss on NFL Sunday.

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