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Post NFL Draft Rookie Rankings – Dynasty Fantasy Football
As is often the case, the NFL draft can have a huge impact on the fantasy football fate of the youngsters who are selected. In dynasty leagues, it’s all about the rookie draft. Many rookie drafts begin immediately after the NFL draft ends, with some waiting until later in OTAs, training camp or the preseason to allow more opportunity to evaluate players’ situations. For those preparing soon, it’s important to have an idea of the value of these innovations, so with that in mind, here’s my top 12 post-release ranking. This marks the first round in most innovative projects. Let’s jump straight to it:
Todd Gurley (STL) – Gurley was a surprise pick by the Rams, but it makes a lot of sense. Jeff Fisher is an experienced coach, and Gurley can carry the load better than Tre Mason in the long run. In the short term, don’t be surprised to see Tre Mason start the year as the lead dog and become a partner in the second half of the year. As long as you’re thinking long term, Gurley is your man.
Amari Cooper (OAK) – Cooper finds himself in a very good situation. A healthy young QB in Derek Carr isn’t exactly a contender for the WR1 gig, although that could affect him with a lot of double teams. There’s no reason Cooper can’t get a starring role in Year 1. In PPR leagues, you could probably trade Cooper for Gurley and feel pretty good about it.
Kevin White (CHI) – Chicago has a lot of transition going on, so this pick is not without risk. Cutler is a solid QB, but certainly won’t be there long. John Fox is not known as an offensive line coach, although he made it clear with Peyton Manning in Denver. I just don’t think this offense has the same firepower. That said, Alshon Jeffery will make it difficult for defenses to focus on White, which will help him. At the end of the day, his talent wins out here to land him in this slot.
Melvin Gordon (SD) – San Diego traded up to get Gordon and I have to say I like where they landed. While there are already some decent RBs on the roster, there is no doubt that both A) Gordon is the most talented and B) San Diego wanted him very badly. I think this creates a fantasy football scenario that could put Gordon as the No. 1 productive rookie heading into the 2016 season.
DeVante Parker (MIA) – Another perfect fit. The Dolphins have quietly put together one of the best young receiving corps in the NFL. Parker is the best X split for Kenny Stills Z receiver and Jarvis Landry Y slot receiver. Add Jordan Cameron and you have some weapons. Tannehill is becoming a quality starter, which will improve the situation. The only risk here is that the Fins receivers haven’t really produced much in the last few years. This should change in the future.
Breshad Perryman (BAL) – Baltimore was in dire need of a WR infusion and got it in the first round with Perryman. Perryman was one of those guys who was on the outside of the first round and jumped now that the Ravens have made the commitment. What’s not to like here, he has a coach in Steve Smith, very little quality competition and a tough QB situation. He’ll need some time to settle into that role, he’s not a finished product, but the upside is higher than he’s ever been drafted.
Dorial Green-Beckham (TEN) – I see this as the breaking point in the draft. The first five are dynasty money IMO, Perryman has a pretty solid situation, here at #7 it gets a little more based on your taste and needs. DGB has tremendous potential and is well placed. Marcus Mariota will be his QB and as long as he develops, DGB will develop with him. I’ve never been impressed with the Titans’ other WRs, so if he keeps his head on straight, DGB could be an absolute steal at this point in the draft. That’s a big IF, though…
TJ Yeldon (JAX) – Other guys like Perryman will fly in the post-NFL rookie rankings IMO. Yeldon, while not the best athlete at the combine, is good enough to be a three-man back in the NFL, and the Jaguars have him slated for a return. That’s enough for me! With very little competition on the field and a solid group of young offensive linemen to build around, Yeldon could be the poor man’s Gordon or Gurley in this draft.
Nelson Agholor (PHI) – In the end, Chip Kelly tried but failed to replace Marcus Mariota, so he sat down and replaced Jeremy Maclin. Almost identical to Maclin in many ways (height, weight, speed), Agholor should fit into Chip’s offense and be a quality fantasy player. Why, you ask, would you put him below the two guys who went later in the draft? Good question, one reason is talent, DGB and Yeldon are more talented at their positions than Agholor. Second, while being a receiver in Kelly’s offense is coveted, I’m not sure Agholor will be the No. 1 receiver on this team, which limits his upside for me. In PPR I’d probably put him ahead of Yeldon, but that’s about it.
Jameis Winston (TB) – Winston goes into the first round on my board because of the weapons at his disposal. Mike Evans, Vincent Jackson, Austin Sefarian-Jenkins and now Kenny Bell. Winston and his immaturity are definitely a risk, but so was Cam Newton and he gave fantasy ballers four 5 fantasy seasons. I’m not 100% on that, but I wouldn’t be surprised if Winston did the same thing.
Tevin Coleman (ATL) – Coleman is a fighter. He played half of his senior season on a broken leg and still had a 2,000-yard season. He comes into a situation where his only competition is Devonta Freeman. Now many people will tell you that it is a competition now, but don’t believe it. This seems to me to be a committee for at least the first year while Coleman gets used to the pro passing and speed of the game. If he just runs the ball well this year, look for him to take over in Year 2.
Devin Funchess (CAR) – This guy just makes my top 12 to be taken by Carolina. The point is, if they play him at WR, which I think they will, then Cam Newton has the weapons to succeed. I think this offense has more potential than it has shown the last two years, and with a healthy Cam, Kelvin Benjamin on one side, Funchess on the other, Olsen in the middle and Stewart in the backfield, the pie could be a little become bigger. for everyone.
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